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Scenario Framework 2013

Scenario Framework 2013

Scenario Framework 2013

Outcome

18.10.2012

Federal Network Agency confirms Scenario Framework

Summary of the main results

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Gas demand in Germany is declining. From 2010 to 2023, it is expected to drop by 6% (scenario I) to 26% (scenario III) across all sectors.

This trend is particularly noticeable in the home heating sector where thermal insulation and energy efficiency improvements have reduced consumption. The use of gas for power generation is set to fall according to all scenarios until 2015, but it will then increase again in scenarios I and II, as gas-fired power plants offer more flexibility when it comes to integrating the rapidly growing shares of intermittent wind and solar power into the energy system.

The production of natural gas in Germany is set to decline in the medium and long term as domestic resources are becoming depleted. Biogas production and injection into the natural gas grid, which the German government is trying to grow, will not reach the same volumes as today’s conventional natural gas production in the period under review.

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  • Konsultationsdokument Szenariorahmen NEP Gas 2013
    Download / 0.67MB / PDF
  • Szenariorahmen NEP Gas 2013: Unterbrechungsliste
    Download / 0.09MB / XLS
  • Szenariorahmen NEP 2013: Speicherliste
    Download / 0.09MB / XLS
  • Szenariorahmen NEP 2013: Kapazitäten der deutschen Grenzübergangspunkte
    Download / 0.07MB / XLS
  • Szenariorahmen NEP Gas 2013: Kraftwerksliste für Szenarien
    Download / 0.08MB / XLS

Consultation

02.10.2012

Comments on Scenario Framework 2013

As part of the public consultation process, a total of 28 market players submitted comments on the TSOs' Scenario Framework 2013, which confirms the active support of the process by many parties.

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In accordance with the provisions of Section 15a of the Energy Industry Act (EnWG), the German gas transmission system operators have submitted all comments to the Federal Network Agency for an overall assessment of the Scenario Framework, and they will respond to the comments made as part of their revision of the Scenario Framework. The comments have been summarised in the following file (except where the authors have objected to publication):

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  • Stellungnahmen zum Szenariorahmen NEP Gas 2013
    Download / 5.8MB / ZIP

Revision

24.08.2012

Gas transmission system operators publish list of capacity interruptions for the NDP 2013 Scenario Framework

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  • Szenariorahmen NEP Gas 2013: Unterbrechungsliste
    Download / 0.09MB / XLS

Design

09.08.2012

Gas transmission system operators publish Scenario Framework for NDP 2013

The Scenario Framework prepared by Prognos AG on behalf of the German gas transmission system operators as a basis for the Network Development Plan has been published as part of the public consultation process.

Show downloads     +

  • Konsultationsdokument Szenariorahmen NEP Gas 2013
    Download / 0.67MB / PDF
  • Szenariorahmen NEP Gas 2013: Kraftwerksliste für Szenarien
    Download / 0.08MB / XLS
  • Szenariorahmen NEP 2013: Kapazitäten der deutschen Grenzübergangspunkte
    Download / 0.07MB / XLS
  • Szenariorahmen NEP 2013: Speicherliste
    Download / 0.09MB / XLS

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